Friday, November 11, 2011

Italy and original sin

Krugman on our original sin paper

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Monday, October 31, 2011

Chinese Perfume Brands

I took this picture in a shopping mall in Wuhan (Hubei Province, China)


Friday, September 2, 2011

When Financial Sectors Become “Too Large”

At the end of July Alan Greenspan published an Op Ed arguing that tighter financial regulation and capital standards will lead to the accumulation of “idle resources that are not otherwise engaged in the production of goods and services” and are instead devoted “to fending off once-in-50 or 100-year crises” resulting in an “excess of buffers at the expense of our standards of living.”...

....While former Chairman Greenspan implicitly assumed that stricter regulation will have a negative effect on financial intermediation and depress future GDP growth, our results suggest that there are many countries for which tighter credit standards could actually increase growth.

The rest on EconoMonitor
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Thursday, August 4, 2011

Lebanese Innovations


Thursday, June 30, 2011

11 luglio CORIPE day


Friday, June 24, 2011

100 trillion dollars (Zimbabwe)

These bills are worth more as a souvenir (5 USD) than when they were legal tender. Below are 10 and 5 billions.

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Friday, March 25, 2011

Too much finance?

This paper examines whether there is a threshold above which financial development no longer has a positive effect on economic growth. We develop a simple model in which the expectation of a bailout may lead to a financial sector which is too large with respect to the social optimum. We then use different empirical approaches to show that there can indeed be “too much” finance. In particular, our results suggest that finance starts having a negative effect on output growth when credit to the private sector reaches 110 percent of GDP. We conclude by showing that the size of the financial sector was a significant amplifying factor in the global crisis that followed the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008.

The article about it is here

The paper is here

An older version of the paper is  here


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Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Housing prices in Geneva are still going up

For what is worth, the Switzerland and Geneva series appear to be cointegrated.
Such a long-run relationhsip suggests that either rest of Switzerland prices need to increase a lot or that Geneva prices need to go down (or both).
If I were a hedge fund, I would be short on Geneva and long on the rest of Switzerland.
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